基于logit模型的旅客出行选择行为

浅析基于logit模型的旅客出行选择行为

摘要：通过分析铁路客流构成和旅客列车分类，将铁路旅客乘车选择行为的影响因素归结为旅客主体特性、列车特性和随机因素。采用随机效用理论建立铁路旅客乘车选择行为非集计模型，给出个体旅客对列车选择概率的多项logit模型，并通过影响因素选择及参数标定等设定求解方法。

关键词：铁路旅客运输；乘车选择行为；影响因素；logit模型 abstract: through the analysis of railway passenger traffic composition and classification of passenger trains, railway passengers’ choice behavior will choose the influence factors of subject characteristics, boil down to the

passenger train characteristics and random factors. using the random utility theory, a railway passengers’ choice behavior choice disaggregate model given individual passengers on the train choose a number of probability logit model, and through the influence factors such as parameters calibration set choice and the solving method.

keywords: railway passenger transportation; bus choice behavior; influencing factors; logit model

中图分类号：f530.32 文献标识码：a 文章编号：

对旅客出行选择行为的研究，向来是铁路运输组织研究的重要内